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Low growth predicted in second quarter as Brexit uncertainty and rising costs bite

Two of Britains biggest business groups have warned of dismal growth for the second quarter of 2019 ..

Two of Britains biggest business groups have warned of dismal growth for the second quarter of 2019 as political turmoil and rising costs take a heavy toll on the UK economy.

Downbeat forecasts for the health of the countrys private sector have been laid bare by two major business trade bodies, the British Chambers of Commerce (BCC) and the Confederation of British Industry (CBI), after months of uncertainty over Britains imminent departure of the European Union.

Read more: London business recovers on improved domestic orders

The UKs manufacturing sector suffered a slowdown in the second quarter while services saw little improvement, prompting experts at the BCC to estimate today that there was “minimal GDP growth in the second quarter of 2019”.

According to the BCC, the balance of manufacturing firms reporting improved domestic orders slumped to a 7-year low in the last three months.

The figures come as a quarterly survey released by the CBI this morning found that optimism about the overall business situation in the financial services sector has continued to fall, although at a slightly slower pace than in the previous three months.

Overall business volumes stabilised after two quarters of consecutive falls, the CBI said, but the greatest drag on growth came from the general insurance, banking (which saw the fastest fall in growth since September 2013) and investment management sectors.

The gloomy findings also echo another CBI forecast on the weekend that found underlying growth would “remain subdued with risks from Brexit and global trade tensions remaining high”.

The CBI said private sector activity in the three months to June contracted at the quickest pace since September 2012, with the balance of firms reporting growth at -13 per cent.

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