- FTSE 100 closes 90 points off
- Wall Street benchmarks also lower
- UK GDP down 5.8% in March
5.05pm: FTSE closes firmly lower
FTSE 100 index closed firmly lower midweek as the US Fed struck a downbeat tone on the economic future of the USA and while global coronavirus fears continue.
Footsie finished over 90 points down at 5,904. The FTSE 250 lost over 294 points at 15,878.
"A resurgence of virus concerns can be seen in the list of FTSE 100 stocks that are deep in the red today. Carnival, Rolls-Royce, Intercontinental Hotels and Compass are all in the line of fire if the push to reopen economies reverses and lockdowns return," noted analyst Chris Beauchamp at online trading group IG
"Whether this is just a temporary blip or the start of something more substantial remains to be seen, but it looks like we are in for some more weakness in equities for the time being."
Carnival (LON:CCL) was the top laggard on the blue-chip index, sinking 11.11% to 835p. Catering giant Compass (LON: CPG) slumped 7.85% to 1,150p.
On Wall Street the Dow Jones was off 466 points and the S&P 500 shed nearly 48.
Earlier, Federal Reserve chief Jerome Powell had said that additional policy measures from the Central Bank may be required to prevent lasting damage to the US economy.
3.50pm: Wall Street is a mixed bag
The Footsie was firmly in the red heading towards the close, while Wall Street was mixed as optimism on economic recovery cooled.
The UK's leading index dropped 55 points to 5,938 with the Dow Jones down 102 points to 23,661 and the S&P 500 flat at 2,868.
Nasdaq was doing better, bagging a rise of 58 points to 9,060.
Aside from fears of a second wave of coronavirus infections, recent optimism in US markets was dampened after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said the economy is facing a long recession, potentially causing “lasting harm".
“The recovery may take some time to gather momentum and the passage of time can turn liquidity problems into solvency problems,” he said.
“Additional fiscal support could be costly but worth it if it helps avoid long-term economic damage and leaves us with a stronger recovery.”
Powell said the central bank is not looking at implementing negative interest rates, although President Donald Trump has invited it to do so.
“Powell himself highlights the fact that the crisis is driving inequality by citing that the Feds own analysis shows nearly 40% of households making less than US$40,000 per year had lost a job in March,” said analysts at ING, who expect another 12mln decline in payrolls in May.
“Given this backdrop we strongly suspect there will be another round of major fiscal stimulus that receives broad support in Congress.”
2.25pm: Chancellor warns of a significant recession
FTSE 100 dipped further in the early afternoon after Chancellor Rishi Sunak warned of a “significant recession” following the GDP reading.
“Technically a recession is defined as two quarters of negative GDP, we've now had one…so yes, it is now very likely that the UK is facing a significant recession at the moment and this year,” he told Sky News.
Despite some optimism in the housing market, Capital Economics noted that a weakened economy, uncertainty and behavioural shifts from the coronavirus will hamper its recovery.
Sales are expected to be below 50% of their usual levels in May and June and will not go back to pre-virus figures in 2020, said economist Hansen Lu.
According to Lu, there will be an initial wave of transactions agreed before lockdowns, however a quarter of them could be cancelled, with slower demand to come thereafter as the pool of prospective new buyers has narrowed.
Londons big-cap index was down 59 points to 5,935.
1.30pm: Wall Street to open in the red
The Footsie held onto its midday losses, with Wall Street expected to have a dire start amid fears of a second wave of coronavirus infections.
US indices will have to recover from Tuesdays plunge after Dr Anthony Fauci, a member of the countrys coronavirus task force, warned of the risks if the US releases businesses too soon.
“It's worth stressing that it's still very early days and new cases that are emerging are just an expected increase that comes from such action, rather than a spike that warrants further restrictions,” pointed out Craig Erlam, analyst at OANDA.
Analysts said its massive potential is already reflected in the current price and they set a price target at 1,900p.
Analysts at the investment bank have Tesco PLC (LON:TSCO) and J Sainsburys PLC (LON:SBRY) on their buy list, arguing the threat from discounters will recede and the coronavirus pandemic create new consumer spending patterns.
The main index was down 43 points to 5,951 after lunch, while sterling advanced 0.5% to US$1.2325.
12.05pm: Retailers down on April sales plunge
The Footsie shed 46 points to 5,947 ahead of lunchtime, with retailers adding to the general malaise.
According to data released by the British Retail Consortium late on Tuesday, sales decreased by 19.1% in April, against an increase of 2.4% in April 2019, the worst reading since the monitor began in 1995.
Despite a 58% spike in online non-food sales, e-commerce did not make up for the loss of in-store purchases.
Shore Capital said that retailers face huge challenges as consumer confidence is set to remain low during and after the crisis.
Companies will operate on thin balance sheets despite state support, but those with enough cash will be able to snap up acquisitions at a convenient price.
“We anticipate a reduction in capacity and the probability of a whole new debate on the future of urban centres and the role that retailing plays,” the broker said, highlighting the accelerating shift to online shopping.
10.50am: Analysts hope for sharp GDP recovery once economy restarts
The Footsie was firmly in the red in late morning, down 59 points to 5,935.
Analysts expect the GDP to plunge around 25% in the quarter to June, from the 2% dip in the quarter to March.
The summer outlook also depends on the effectiveness of safety measures while restrictions are lifted.
“From an economic standpoint, the delay in UK Covid-19 experiences means that we could see the timelines laid out by Johnson pushed back as lessons are learnt from those countries which ease lockdowns too much or too soon,” said Josh Mahony, analyst at IG.
However, some experts believe that such sharp declines in GDP will be followed by increases of the same tune.
“This isnt a normal structural recession: its the result of deliberate shutting down of large sections of the economy,” commented William Ryder, analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.
“It means that if businesses can keep going through the crisis, the recovery could be equally record-breaking when we emerge on the other side.”
According to Ryder, Londons stocks are diversified in terms of geography, so the economic data coming from abroad matters just as much as anything we read about the UK.
9.30am: housebuilders higher on easier lockdown restrictions
The Footsie pared its losses in mid-morning as the market still digests the latest figures on the UK economy.
Londons big caps shed 55 points to 5,939 as sterling rose 0.1% to US$1.2272.
The woes of TUI, Carnival, easyJet and International Consolidated Airlines dragging the index down were helped by housebuilders benefitting from looser lockdown rules.
Taylor Wimpey announced plans to reopen sales centres and show homes gradually from 22 May following updated UK government guidance on coronavirus.
Initially this will be for pre-booked appointments and with strict social distancing rules, the company said.
Perspex screens and distance marker guides will be installed with show home viewings unaccompanied and limited to one family at a time to view each house.
Since the UK implemented a lockdown in March, people could move if “reasonably necessary” but property viewings were halted and offices were shuttered.
Housing minister Robert Jenrick said these operations were allowed to resume, although virtual viewings are encouraged “where possible”.
Jenrick said the new measures unblock 450,000 transactions put on hold during the coronavirus outbreak.
8.35am: Weak start to Wednesday
The FTSE 100 opened down around 1% on Wednesday after the UK economy recorded its worst-ever monthly contraction – with the promise of worse to come as the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic rolls on.
The index of UK blue-chips fell 62 points to 5,932.49 in early trading.
Uk gross domestic product fell by 5.8% in March, according to official figures. This was the period in which the lockdown just started to kick in, so not a great deal of cheer was garnered from the fact the number was marginally better than expected.
“In essence, theres not much in this data to offer too much in the way of comfort, as we know April and May are likely to be much worse, as the UK economy starts to take very baby steps out of lockdown this morning,” said Michael Hewson of CMC Markets.
“As we look ahead to the summer months it's likely to be a long and winding road, towards restarting the economy.”
Internationally, sentiment has been driven by a potential second wave of coronavirus infections in those countries deemed to have recovered early from the pandemic.
On the market, the travel stocks were again in the doldrums after UK health secretary Matt Hancock effectively cancelled the collective overseas holiday plans of the population on Tuesday.
On the rise was building supplies specialist Ferguson (LON:FERG), whose latest update on trading was bad, but a smidgeon less bad than expected. The shares nosed 2.2% higher.
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