{"id":64900,"date":"2018-02-20T07:22:40","date_gmt":"2018-02-20T07:22:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bnreport.com\/the-ecb-is-getting-a-new-deputy-but-dont-expect-a-hawkish-change-of-tone\/"},"modified":"2018-02-20T07:22:40","modified_gmt":"2018-02-20T07:22:40","slug":"the-ecb-is-getting-a-new-deputy-but-dont-expect-a-hawkish-change-of-tone","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bnreport.com\/en\/the-ecb-is-getting-a-new-deputy-but-dont-expect-a-hawkish-change-of-tone\/","title":{"rendered":"The ECB is getting a new deputy, but don\u2019t expect a hawkish change of tone"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>As Europe&#039;s leaders prepared to choose a new vice president for the continent\u2019s central bank, the campaign for the appointment proved brief and anything but hard-fought.<\/p>\n<p>The successful candidate was Luis de Guindos, Spain\u2019s current minister for the economy.<\/p>\n<p>Finance ministers from the 19 countries that use the euro met yesterday to decide between two candidates: de Guindos, and the governor of Ireland\u2019s central bank, Philip Lane.<\/p>\n<p>Last week, both men had testified privately before members of the European Parliament, and based on the public comments that followed those appearances, the assembled lawmakers sounded far more enamoured with the Irishman.<\/p>\n<p>But those parliamentarians enjoyed a merely consultative role in the selection process, and the winds of national interest seemed to favour the Spaniard.<\/p>\n<p>De Guindos is a politician\u2019s politician \u2013 at turns charming and outspoken, while also a dispenser of bon mots at international gatherings.<\/p>\n<p>But he does not shy away from voicing carefully calibrated criticisms, with Catalonia\u2019s pro-independence movement \u2013 and its impact on the wider Spanish economy \u2013 a frequent target for his ostensible ire in recent months.<\/p>\n<p>The nakedly partisan nature of his discourse and behaviour puts him slightly at odds with the European Central Bank\u2019s (ECB) nominally apolitical nature, and this raised concerns among some of Europe\u2019s political parties.<\/p>\n<p>De Guindos\u2019 career in the private sector ended with him holding the can as the head of Lehman Brothers\u2019 operations in Spain and Portugal when the parent bank kicked the bucket in 2008.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, Philip Lane is a relative newcomer to the international scene, with a much lower profile \u2013 having only taken over the governorship of Ireland\u2019s Banc Ceannais in late 2015. His academic and advisory experience in global macroeconomics is extensive, and includes years of consultative work with the Asian Development Bank, OECD, the International Monetary Fund, and World Bank.<\/p>\n<p>While the Irish government had been publicly extolling his suitability for the past few weeks, the campaign appeared to be waged too half-heartedly or too late to dislodge the frontrunner.<\/p>\n<p>And just hours before an informal Eurogroup vote last night, Irish finance minister Paschal Donohoe announced he would withdraw Lane\u2019s candidacy for the position.<\/p>\n<p>De Guindos\u2019 views on monetary policy might be less documented than those of a widely-published academic economist like Lane, but in a recent interview the Spaniard said that he thinks the central bank\u2019s bond-buying policy and low interest rate environment have undoubtedly helped to drive Europe\u2019s growth.<\/p>\n<p>He added that inflation will rise close to two per cent in the near future, and insisted positive economic indicators should encourage Europe\u2019s integration.<\/p>\n<p>ECB watchers should not expect the Spaniard to diverge too strongly from the approach promoted by his likely future boss \u2014 the Italian described by a recent guest on our TV channel as \u201cdo everything possible (Mario) Draghi\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>But judging by his record in bailout-rescued Spain, it\u2019s likely de Guindos\u2019 political experience will colour his approach to the new job, and as of now his selection seems all but guaranteed.<\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/blockads.fivefilters.org\/\" rel=\"noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/blockads.fivefilters.org\/acceptable.html\" rel=\"noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.cityam.com\/280885\/european-central-bank-getting-new-deputy-but-dont-expect\" rel=\"noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Original Article<\/a><\/p>\n<p>[contf]<br \/>\n[contfnew]<br \/>\n        <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/vignette3.wikia.nocookie.net\/logopedia\/images\/9\/99\/City_A.M..svg\/revision\/latest?cb=20150503233945\"\/><\/p>\n<h5><a href=\"http:\/\/www.cityam.com\/\" rel=\"noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">CityAM<\/a><\/h5>\n<p>[contfnewc]<br \/>\n[contfnewc]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As Europe&#039;s leaders prepared to choose a new vice presi..<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":64901,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[202],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-64900","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-finance"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - 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