{"id":125714,"date":"2019-07-02T21:00:21","date_gmt":"2019-07-02T21:00:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bnreport.com\/auto-sales-to-remain-muted-till-h1fy21-reliance-securities\/"},"modified":"2019-07-02T21:00:21","modified_gmt":"2019-07-02T21:00:21","slug":"auto-sales-to-remain-muted-till-h1fy21-reliance-securities","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bnreport.com\/en\/auto-sales-to-remain-muted-till-h1fy21-reliance-securities\/","title":{"rendered":"Auto sales to remain muted till H1FY21: Reliance Securities"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Mumbai: <a href=\"https:\/\/economictimes.indiatimes.com\/topic\/Auto-sales\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Auto sales<\/a> are likely remain muted for fiscal year 2020 and the first half of 2021 as well, says Mitul Shah, Vice President of Research at Reliance Securities.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe believe that the next six months would be more tough because of the ongoing slowdown, negative sentiment and the NBFC issue still continuing,\u201d Shah told ET Now.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cOver and above these once this <a href=\"https:\/\/economictimes.indiatimes.com\/topic\/BS-VI\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BS-VI<\/a> comes in and price hike will start impacting affordability, we believe that next one year would be also (tough), he added<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSo from current level next one and a half year would remain like current situation \u2013 subdued, though there would be some improvement but overall volume will remain muted for FY20 as well as first half of FY21,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>Auto industry typically goes through a <a href=\"https:\/\/economictimes.indiatimes.com\/topic\/cyclical-downturn\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">cyclical downturn<\/a> every few years, but tends to bounce back after a rough patch of few months.<\/p>\n<p>Shah pointed that the current situation is slightly different than the previous slowdown.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cEvery three to four years, we see such type of slowdown in volumes because of whatever economic reason whether interest rate or NBFC but this is a kind of a cyclical downturn along with the BS-VI transition,\u201d he pointed.<\/p>\n<p>He said that last BS-III to BS-IV norms were introduced, there was a positive cycle going on. He pointed that despite the price hike M&amp;HCV (medium and heavy commercial vehicle ) industry climbed up.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cDespite GST, M&amp;HCV industry (was) significantly up but this time cyclical downturn is again coinciding with the transition from BS-IV to BS-VI wherein as indicated by majority of the automakers price hike would be in the range of 10% plus for most of the categories, which is again very high during the down cycle,\u201d Shah said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSo that is why we believe that because of the higher price hike as well as slowdown combining together it should last for more than one, one and a half years,\u201d he added.<\/p>\n<p>Even as auto businesses are going to be challenging for the next one and a half years, from valuation point of view many of the stocks are available at all-time low valuation he said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf we go by segment wise that passenger vehicle should recover earliest among all t<a href=\"https:\/\/economictimes.indiatimes.com\/markets\/stocks\/news\/auto-sales-to-remain-muted-till-h1fy21-reliance-securities\/articleshow\/70044820.cms\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>Read More \u2013 Source<\/strong><\/a><br \/>\n[contf]<br \/>\n[contfnew]<br \/>\n        <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/img.etimg.com\/photo\/60278104.cms\"\/><\/p>\n<h5><a href=\"https:\/\/economictimes.indiatimes.com\/\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">ET Markets<\/a><\/h5>\n<p>[contfnewc]<br \/>\n[contfnewc]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mumbai: Auto sales are likely remain muted for fiscal year 2..<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":125715,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[202],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-125714","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-finance"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - 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