{"id":124530,"date":"2019-06-25T18:40:17","date_gmt":"2019-06-25T18:40:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bnreport.com\/goad-threaten-backtrack-trump-boltons-iran-policy-is-confusing-dangerous-achieves-nothing\/"},"modified":"2019-06-25T18:40:17","modified_gmt":"2019-06-25T18:40:17","slug":"goad-threaten-backtrack-trump-boltons-iran-policy-is-confusing-dangerous-achieves-nothing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bnreport.com\/en\/goad-threaten-backtrack-trump-boltons-iran-policy-is-confusing-dangerous-achieves-nothing\/","title":{"rendered":"Goad, threaten, backtrack: Trump &amp; Boltons Iran policy is confusing, dangerous &amp; achieves NOTHING"},"content":{"rendered":"<pre><code>      Washingtons fuzzy and high-drama \u201cmaximum pressure\u201d approach to Iran has no realistic endgame \u2013 but is good for making the world a more unstable place for both Americas adversaries and allies.      \n<\/code><\/pre>\n<p>National Security Advisor John Boltons Tuesday claim that US diplomats are<em> \u201csurging\u201d<\/em> across the Middle East in search of a <em>\u201cpath to peace\u201d<\/em> only to encounter <em>\u201cdeafening silence\u201d<\/em> from Tehran might have ordinarily seemed merely mendacious.<\/p>\n<p>But considering the extraordinarily rich array of pronouncements and actions from the White House in the past week, most are no longer sure if Bolton is playing the diplomat, gaslighting us or actually believes his words. If \u2013 surely, like many of the worlds foreign ministers \u2013 you are struggling to keep up, here is the timeline since Thursday, when Iran admitted shooting down an American drone:<\/p>\n<p><strong>Thursday:<\/strong> Donald Trump calls Irans actions a <em>\u201cbig mistake\u201d<\/em> and hints that a military response is possible.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Friday:<\/strong> Trump says that he cancelled a <em>\u201cpretty heavy\u201d<\/em> air strike 10 minutes before the start to spare 150 Iranian lives, but insists the US military is <em>\u201cready to go.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Sunday:<\/strong> Trump says Iran faces <em>\u201cobliteration like youve never seen before\u201d<\/em> if it doesnt restrict its nuclear program, while Bolton warns not to <em>\u201cmistake US prudence and discretion for weakness.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Monday:<\/strong> Trump signs off on<em> \u201cstrong sanctions\u201d<\/em> against Irans Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Tuesday:<\/strong> Bolton says Washington <em>\u201chas held the door open for real negotiations\u201d<\/em> with Iran over its nuclear program, and that it now must <em>\u201cwalk through that open door.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<h2>Madness or method?<\/h2>\n<p>Plenty of outside observers claim these zigzags and mixed signals represent a chaotic administration where Trump is being pulled aside in turn by the hawks and doves on top of his own ever-changing mind, or that perhaps Bolton, who has spent the past several days in Israel, has gone rogue.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rt.com\/news\/462629-bolton-iran-silent-deafening\/\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">                           Also on rt.com             Dialogue at gunpoint: Bolton says Irans silence is DEAFENING while its actually pretty vocal                            <\/a><\/p>\n<p>But through the noise, the signatures of both men can be clearly deciphered. From his days at corporate negotiating tables, and throughout his presidency, Trump has endorsed strategic ambiguity. His <em>\u201cYoull find out!\u201d<\/em> to reporters who asked him last week about the imminent strike was the kind of kindergarten fog-of-war that he has customarily tried to summon over American foreign policy.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile Bolton, who has called for strikes and regime change in Iran at least since 2007, and has likely dreamt of this since the Islamic Revolution, has been one of the key proponents of maximum pressure. That is making Irans life hell through economic sanctions, diplomatic ostracism, military threats, and other measures short of war, such as cyber attacks, to force it to the negotiating table. So, when he says that he is ready to talk, he probably is \u2013 to a demoralized and scared adversary and on Americas terms.<\/p>\n<h2>Poking Iran<\/h2>\n<p>So, there is an American policy \u2013 but is it a good one?<\/p>\n<p>The economic devastation wrought on Iran by cancelling Obama-era sanctions relief has been surprisingly effective \u2013 at making ordinary Iranians poorer. The economy is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/us-iran-economy-imf\/iran-inflation-could-reach-40-percent-this-year-as-economy-shrinks-further-imf-idUSKCN1S509Q\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">expected<\/a> to shrink six percent this year, inflation is in double figures, and oil production at a historic low.<\/p>\n<p>But what it hasnt brought is regime change to Iran, which has hunkered down and now resents America with a new vigor, nor has it induced its leaders to new compromises. Tehran has said that the latest sanctions have <em>\u201cclosed the path of diplomacy.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rt.com\/news\/462617-us-sanctios-zarif-khamenei\/\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">                           Also on rt.com             US sanctions on Khamenei &amp; Zarif close path of diplomacy \u2013 Iran                            <\/a><\/p>\n<p>Iran continues to work towards exceeding the uranium stockpile limit, set by the 2015 international nuclear deal, this week.<\/p>\n<p>But perhaps this is what Bolton wants too. By tightening the vice around the Islamic Republic, perhaps US hawks are hoping for an escalation that will usher in the sweet, sweet sound of American and Israeli bombs dropping on Iranian soil.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rt.com\/news\/462641-iran-russia-evidence-us\/\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">                           Also on rt.com             Unacceptable to lump Iran together with ISIS as Middle Easts chief security threat \u2013 Moscow                            <\/a><\/p>\n<p>Maybe we are currently in stage two of the plan, when Iran is meant to be lashing out: here come the tanker incident earlier this month, which the US made every effort to pin on Tehran with limited success, and the drone takedown. These incidents are not yet casus belli, but for Bolton, who played a key role in creating THAT dossier prior to the Iraq war in 2003, the next one could be.<\/p>\n<h2>Strategy-free zone grows<\/h2>\n<p>But what then?<\/p>\n<p>The hawks must realize that there is no appetite among the American public to endorse another full-scale conflict worth trillions and with thousands of dead, and Congress will never vote it through either.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, Trumps own common-sense instincts are for supporting US allies in the region, but keeping America itself out of long-term military adventures. Every time an opportunity has co<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rt.com\/news\/462664-trump-bolton-iran-maximum-pressure\/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=RSS\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>Read More \u2013 Source<\/strong><\/a><br \/>\n[contf]<br \/>\n[contfnew]<br \/>\n        <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/upload.wikimedia.org\/wikipedia\/commons\/thumb\/a\/a0\/Russia-today-logo.svg\/1200px-Russia-today-logo.svg.png\" \/><\/p>\n<h5><a href=\"http:\/\/rt.com\/\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">RT<\/a><\/h5>\n<p>[contfnewc]<br \/>\n[contfnewc]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Washingtons fuzzy and high-drama \u201cmaximum pressure\u201d approach to Iran has no realistic endgame \u2013 but ..<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":124531,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[46],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-124530","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Goad, threaten, backtrack: Trump &amp; 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