{"id":100209,"date":"2018-11-17T01:16:31","date_gmt":"2018-11-17T01:16:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bnreport.com\/morgan-stanley-says-dollar-bull-run-has-ended-time-to-sell\/"},"modified":"2018-11-17T01:16:31","modified_gmt":"2018-11-17T01:16:31","slug":"morgan-stanley-says-dollar-bull-run-has-ended-time-to-sell","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bnreport.com\/en\/morgan-stanley-says-dollar-bull-run-has-ended-time-to-sell\/","title":{"rendered":"Morgan Stanley says dollar bull run has ended, time to sell"},"content":{"rendered":"

By Ruth Carson
<\/strong>
The dollars bull run has ended and its time to sell the currency, according to Morgan Stanley<\/a>. <\/p>\n

\u201cWe believe the USD has reached its peak at around current levels,\u201d Morgan Stanleys global head of FX strategy Hans Redeker wrote in a note. \u201cThe USD may weaken as credit spreads widen, equity prices fall, and sovereign bond yields also begin falling amid disinflationary pressure and falling oil prices.\u201d <\/p>\n

Escalating trade tensions, climbing Treasury yields and a robust U.S. economy have fuelled investor demand for the worlds biggest reserve currency<\/a>. The Bloomberg Dollar<\/a> Spot Index has gained 8 percent since mid-April, cheered on by bullish hedge funds who recently raised their net long positions on the currency to the highest since January 2017. <\/p>\n

However, Morgan Stanley reckons recent foreign flows into U.S. assets have been short-term and are prone to a quick reversal \u2014 another sign dollar weakness may come. <\/p>\n

\u201cInstead of strong inward foreign direct investment or other long-term flows, we see evidence that flows to the U.S. have been into money market funds and are carry trade motivated,\u201d Redeker said. <\/p>\n

Morgan Stanley has joined a growing pool of banks that think the greenbacks strength is waning. Goldman Sachs foreign-exchange strategy team said the greenback is approaching a peak, which should relieve pressure on currencies such as the yuan. Credit Agricole also sees a weaker dollar after the Democrats took control of the House of Representatives at the U.S. midterm. <\/p>\n

Cheaper Oil<\/strong>
Adding fuel to the bearish fire will be a slowing American economy, falling oil prices, a stabilizing Chinese currency and tighter liquidity in U.S. markets, Redeker said. <\/p>\n

This means emerging-market assets that have been battered by rising Treasury yields and dollar strength now look set to shine, according to Redeker. Lower oil prices and stable building material prices including those of iron ore and copper may augur an emerging market rally, he said. <\/p>\n

\u201cWe expect slowing U.S. growth to benefit countries that are either reliant on USD-denominated funding or vulnerable to higher global funding costs,\u201d Redeker said. <\/p>\n

<\/a><\/strong> <\/a><\/p>\n

Original Article<\/a><\/p>\n

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ET Markets<\/a><\/h5>\n

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By Ruth Carson<\/p>\n

The dollars bull run has ended and its time ..<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":100210,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[202],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-100209","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-finance"],"yoast_head":"\nMorgan Stanley says dollar bull run has ended, time to sell - Business News Report<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"By Ruth Carson The dollars bull run has ended and its time ..\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bnreport.com\/en\/morgan-stanley-says-dollar-bull-run-has-ended-time-to-sell\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Morgan Stanley says dollar bull run has ended, time to sell - 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